Skip to content
CartKeel

Scenarios

How the diagnosis works, step by step

These are illustrative scenarios, not client results. They show the kinds of problems we look for and the actions we take. Verified client case studies will appear here once clients approve them.

Showing 5 scenarios

TikTok ShopIllustrative example, not client data

GMV is rising, but the bank balance isn't

A beauty seller on TikTok Shop has doubled GMV in six months through affiliates and ads, yet monthly profit has barely moved.

Diagnosis

  • Affiliate commission plus ad spend is higher than contribution margin on two of the three hero products
  • Returns on one product run at 12%, but costs are calculated as if returns were zero
  • No one has calculated break-even ROAS

Actions

  • Rebuild unit economics per product including commission, returns and fees
  • Cap commission and ad spend per product at break-even
  • Fix the listing causing the returns and re-test

Illustrative before and after

Illustrative numbers for GMV is rising, but the bank balance isn't
MetricBeforeAfter
Contribution after ads4%13%
Break-even ROAS knownNoYes, per product
Run the profit calculator
TikTok ShopIllustrative example, not client data

The same violations keep coming back

A home-goods seller receives repeated late-dispatch and listing violations and loses several days a month to appeals.

Diagnosis

  • Dispatch cut-off at the warehouse is later than the platform's window on weekends
  • Two listing templates contain a restricted claim that keeps being reused
  • Nobody checks account health daily, so issues are found days late

Actions

  • Align weekend dispatch cut-offs with the 3PL
  • Remove the restricted claim from templates
  • Introduce a logged daily health check

Illustrative before and after

Illustrative numbers for The same violations keep coming back
MetricBeforeAfter
Open violations71
Days to notice an issue3–5Same day
Take the readiness assessment
AmazonIllustrative example, not client data

Best sellers keep going out of stock

An Amazon seller loses ranking every time a hero SKU stocks out, then overspends on ads to recover.

Diagnosis

  • Reorders are placed on instinct, not on sell-through and lead time
  • Ad budgets aren't paused when stock is low

Actions

  • Weekly stock cover report with reorder flags
  • Rule to reduce ad spend when cover drops below lead time

Illustrative before and after

Illustrative numbers for Best sellers keep going out of stock
MetricBeforeAfter
In-stock rate (hero SKUs)86%97%
Recovery ad spend after stock-outsRecurringRare
Check ad efficiency
ShopifyIllustrative example, not client data

Traffic from TikTok, but the store doesn't convert

A DTC brand drives TikTok traffic to Shopify, but mobile conversion is well below the brand's other channels.

Diagnosis

  • Landing pages don't match the product shown in the video
  • Shipping cost appears only at checkout
  • Page weight is high on mobile

Actions

  • Match landing pages to video hooks
  • Show shipping costs on the product page
  • Remove unused apps to cut page weight

Illustrative before and after

Illustrative numbers for Traffic from TikTok, but the store doesn't convert
MetricBeforeAfter
Mobile conversion rate0.9%1.4%
Checkout abandonmentHighReduced
Model the conversion scenario
Several channelsIllustrative example, not client data

Everything runs through the founder

A two-channel seller's founder spends four hours a day pulling numbers and answering the same team questions.

Diagnosis

  • No written daily routine
  • Reports are rebuilt by hand every week
  • KPIs differ between channels

Actions

  • Daily operations checklist with a log
  • One automated weekly KPI report
  • Five shared KPIs across channels

Illustrative before and after

Illustrative numbers for Everything runs through the founder
MetricBeforeAfter
Founder hours on reporting each week~10~2
Weekly KPI reviewAd hocEvery Monday
Take the growth assessment

Recognise one of these?

The Growth Audit applies the same diagnosis to your real numbers.